Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Next Time ....

next time , the congressional races in Ohio .

Ohio Politics ==> 2010

Statewide

Treasurer

  Kevin Boyce [D] (current [appointed] incumbent ) vs.
  Josh Mandel [R]  ( State Rep , US Marine Reservist )

Auditor

  Dave Yost [R] (Delaware County Prosecutor) vs.
  David Pepper [D] (Hamilton County Commissioner)

[ open seat ]

State Supreme Court

# 1 -- Eric Brown (current [appointed] Chief Justice [D] ) vs.
          Maureen O ' Connor (current Associate Justice [R])

    My call ==> O ' Connor . Brown is a decent candidate , but O ' Connor is a proven vote - getter . and this  is most
  definitely a G.O.P. year .

# 2 -- Paul Pfeiffer [R] (R.I.N.O.)
 
          unopposed

    obviously , a walkover . Pfeiffer .

# 3 -- Judith Lanziner [R] * vs
          Mary Jane Trapp [D]

    My guess ==> Lanzinger . in a more even year , this one would be more even . not this year , that is for sure .

Ohio Politics ==> 2010

Ohio Politics -- Statewide
[ * --> incumbent , where indicated ]

well , it is the easiest to talk about what I know best , first . and , to return to , and as they say on Capitol Hill , to " revise
and extend my remarks . "

well  , i hope not to revise things too often .

Ohio -- Governor & Lt . Governnor

[republican]
  John Kasich (former congressman & commentator) &
    Mary Taylor (current auditor)

  vs

[democrat]

  Ted Strickland * &
    Yvonne McGee Brown
  (former Judge)

  Let ' s face it . The economy sucks . No , Strickland did not have everything to do with it . However , it is his watch .
It is also , to a point , his responsibility . the job market is worse , and the ObamaCrats are not helpful at all .

  Normally , an incumbent Ohio Governor is (at the least) a mild favourite for re - election . It is just the way
that things tend to work around these parts . Not this year , though  . Strickland has been trailing in the polls ,
and he has been struggling to gain any altitude . also , Kasich has had the initiative in the issues debate most
of the way .

   Strickland came out firing ,  right after our primary in May . However , Kasich ' s people counterattacked
right afterward , and he got a good chunk of help from the R. G. A. . that helped a good bit .

   Can he win . Maybe . Do I think so ? No . the corruption mess up here in Cuyahoga County is going to cause its own
set of headaches . Mr. Obama is not popular , and his policies are doing much , much worse . and ( addressed below )
he is getting no help from the rest of the ticket .

My call ==> Kasich wins , by about 8 to 10 percent .

Ohio -- U. S. Senate

Rob Portman [R] (former Congresscritter & U. S. Trade Representative )
  vs.
Lee Fisher [D] (current Lt. Governor)
  Rob Portman has worked his buns off . he has earned election . his message has been fairly good , but his
fundraising andorganization has been superb . Also , he ( as a first time statewide ) has greatly outraised his opponent .

  Lee Fisher is the incumbent Lt. Governor . Greater Cleveland is his base . His fundraising has been terrible . and he
has run a horrendous campaign . one of the worst in ohio , or anywhere , in recent memory .

My call ==> Portman , by 12 to 15 points

Attorney General

Richard Cordray [D] *
vs.
Micheal DeWine [R] (former U.S. Senator , Congresscritter , and Lt. Governor)

  Cordray has run a good campaign , but he is going to get caught in the undertow of the upballot races .

My call ==> deWine , by a narrow to medium margin (about 5 to 6 points) . maybe more.

Secretary of State (Chief Elections Officer)

[open seat]

Mary Ellen O ' Shaughnessy (columbus city councilwoman) vs.

Jon Husted (State Senator , for State House Speaker )

  Husted has the experience , most of the money , and the momentum . O ' Shaughnessy has the name , but not much else .

My call ==> Husted , by plenty (15 points , at least)

My Introduction

I am most definitely a conservative . Proudly and unabashedly . It will take time to get the hang of the blogging thing , but I  want to be straight with people . i most definitely do not like spin .

simple question , and simple equation .... spin == fib .

I am a midwesterner , born and bread . i was born and raised here in the Buckeye State . I live up here in the northern part of the state , within range of cleveland . i will do my best to ....

  1. tell you what I think , as best as i know it , ....
  2. within a reasonable period of time , and ....
  3. minus the bloody damn spin  .
Thanks , and I will be right back .....